Oscars 2017

It’s that time of year again: the Academy Awards, otherwise known as the Oscars, are coming to Los Angeles (and the rest of the world, through the miracle of technology) in less than a week, and I gotta get some predictions down. We did something different this year, and got in predictions for the very nominations themselves, and didn’t fare too badly.

As usual, I try and watch as many of the movies as possible. As such, here are the nominated ones I’ve managed to watch ahead of February 26, 2017:

‘Arrival’ x2, ‘Hacksaw Ridge’, ‘Hell or High Water’, ‘La La Land’, ‘Manchester By The Sea’, ‘Moonlight’, ‘Florence Foster Jenkins’, ‘Nocturnal Animals’, ‘Kubo and the Two Strings’, ‘Zootopia’ x2, ‘Moana’ x2, ‘Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them’, ‘Star Trek Beyond’, ‘Suicide Squad’, ‘Hail, Caesar!’, ‘Rogue One: A Star Wars Story’ x3, ‘Doctor Strange’ x2, ‘The Jungle Book’ x2.

There’s still a few days left, and I’m hoping to add ‘Lion’, ‘Fences’, and ‘Hidden Figures’ to that list.
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Oscars 2017 Nominations Roundup

All things considered, I think I did reasonably predicting the nominations themselves. I missed big time on ‘Hidden Figures’ and ‘Silence’, I think – didn’t really see any hype around that movie going into the predictions, though I think it’s really, really amazing that a movie about minority women is getting such acclaim/box office glory. ‘Silence’ probably suffered from the timing of its release, I have to think if it was released earlier, it would have been fine.

There’s always a big time snub, and this year, it has got to be Amy Adams. Perhaps the actress being in both ‘Arrival’ and ‘Nocturnal Animals’ hurt her, as it split the vote for her, but come on, as amazing as Meryl Streep is, it’s a bit ridiculous she’s in there this year over Adams or Annette Bening.

We will speak no more of my mistakenly putting ‘Moonlight’ in the wrong screenplay category, or essentially any of my picks for the Best Original Score category – though it gives me comfort that my ONLY correct Score pick, ‘La La Land’, is the likely winner anyway. At least I was a sparkling five-for-five in the Supporting Actor race.

Let me also just say that, without ‘Finding Dory’ in the running for Best Animated Feature, that I think ‘Zootopia’ (along with the Golden Globe win earlier this year) now has the best chance of letting me follow through with my prediction from last year.

My annual predictions for the winners will probably be out after all the other award shows are out, so I can make my most informed decision for myself. Some good movies I’ve yet to see, too!

awards_oscars_statue

Best Picture
Moonlight
Manchester by the Sea
La La Land
Silence  Hidden Figures
Hacksaw Ridge
Arrival
Hell or High Water
Fences
Lion (wasn’t on initial list)

Best Director
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorsese, Silence Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Denzel Washington, Fences
Joel Edgerton, Loving Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Tom Hanks, Sully Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Amy Adams, Arrival Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Ruth Negga, Loving
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Viola Davis, Fences
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women Nicole Kidman, Lion
Felicity Jones, A Monster Calls Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
Moonlight La La Land (Moonlight IS in the Adapted category, though, my mistake)
Manchester by the Sea
Loving 20th Century Women
The Lobster

Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Sully Moonlight
Silence Hidden Figures

Best Original Score
La La Land
Star Wars: Rogue One Jackie
Arrival Lion
Moana Moonlight
The Light Between Oceans Passengers

Best Original Song
‘How Far I’ll Go’ – Moana
‘The Fools Who Dream’ – La La Land
‘City of Stars’ – La La Land
‘Can’t Stop The Feeling’ – Trolls
‘I’m Still Here’ – Miss Sharon Jones ‘The Empty Chair, Jim’ – The James Foley Story

Best Animated Picture
Moana
Zootopia
Kubo and the Two Strings
Finding Dory My Life As A Zucchini
Kung Fu Panda 3 The Red Turtle

Oscars 2017 Nomination Predictions

Ahead of my yearly predictions post, which will come later in December/early January (whenever the official nominations come out), I felt it was appropriate to maybe make some early predictions for who will be nominated for the Academy Awards – otherwise known as the Oscars.

Who knows what will actually go down, as the various other award shows have yet to pan out (BAFTAs, SAGs, Golden Globes, etc.). I know, these things are pretty much just self-congratulatory circle-jerks, but I enjoy them a tremendous amount, culminating in the best one of them all in February.

It’s more or less impossible to make an accurate prediction on the technical Oscars already, not to mention the short films/animated shorts and documentary categories, so I’ll skip those and just focus on the acting, directing, and writing awards.

I haven’t seen every movie on this list yet – namely because some haven’t come out in wide release yet. So we’re going off the buzz that a lot of these movies have generated at other awards shows, online, etc., as well as the legacy that some of these actors/directors/writers/musicians have both inside and outside of the Oscars.

I’m betting heavy on ‘Moonlight’, ‘Manchester by the Sea’, ‘La La Land’, and ‘Silence’ overall – those four will, without a doubt, end up with the most total nominations.

We’ll go with one prediction for the awards themselves, which will be that ‘Moonlight’ wins Best Picture. What a great film. Anyway – let’s go!

awards_oscars_statue

Best Picture
Moonlight
Manchester by the Sea
La La Land
Silence
Hacksaw Ridge
Arrival
Hell or High Water
Fences

Best Director
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorsese, Silence
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Could Make It: Jeff Nichols, Loving; Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge; Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Denzel Washington, Fences
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Tom Hanks, Sully
Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Could Make It: Michael Keaton, The Founder; Jake Gyllenhaal, Nocturnal Animals

Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Amy Adams, Arrival
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Ruth Negga, Loving
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Viola Davis, Fences
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women
Felicity Jones, A Monster Calls

Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
Moonlight
Manchester by the Sea
Loving
The Lobster

Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Sully
Silence

Best Original Score
La La Land
Star Wars: Rogue One
Arrival
Moana
The Light Between Oceans

Best Original Song
‘How Far I’ll Go’ – Moana
‘The Fools Who Dream’ – La La Land
‘City of Stars’ – La La Land
‘Can’t Stop The Feeling’ – Trolls (Thanks, JT.)
‘I’m Still Here’ – Miss Sharon Jones

Best Animated Picture
Moana
Zootopia
Kubo and the Two Strings
Finding Dory
Kung Fu Panda 3

Review: The Jungle Book

Jon Favreau’s 2016 film ‘The Jungle Book’ hit theatres last weekend, and immediately threw down the gauntlet for ‘best CGI in a movie ever’. Indeed, this adaptation of Rudyard Kipling’s famous collection of stories might be the most beautifully rendered version to ever grace the silver screen, combining the amazing visuals with a supremely talented voice cast.Read More »

Review: Zootopia

‘Zootopia’, Disney’s latest animated film, is one of their most intelligent films in years. Coming on the heels of hits such as ‘Tangled’, ‘Wreck-It Ralph’, ‘Frozen’, and ‘Big Hero 6’, ‘Zootopia’ is all the more impressive considering it is superior to those films in every possible fashion.Read More »

Review: Batman vs. Superman – Dawn of Justice

Despite dismal reviews, ‘Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice’ charged the box office this weekend, opening to the fourth-largest weekend take in history.

‘BvS’ is not exactly subtle: there are some thoughts that jump out at the viewer immediately. There are other thoughts that feel as though they needed a second viewing to ponder, so they could be articulated more effectively. Even so, there are many fun moments awaiting viewers – the film is full of fan service moments, and somehow, they work.Read More »